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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 378.38+2.7%Nov 10 4:00 PM EST

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To: Tommaso who wrote (43477)12/4/2008 9:47:56 PM
From: Joe S Pack3 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) of 217670
 
Yeap you are not alone. It is straight from horses mouth. It is worse than "Iraq War Intelligence". It is almost like 911 failure. It looks like a massive fraud as usual taxing J6P several hundred billion dollars within a few days with the help of their friendly media.

minneapolisfed.org

Facts and Myths about the Financial Crisis of 2008

V.V. Chari, Lawrence Christiano, and Patrick J. Kehoe
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
Research Department


Working Paper 666
October 2008
ABSTRACT
The United States is indisputably undergoing a financial crisis and is perhaps headed for a deep
recession. Here we examine three claims about the way the financial crisis is affecting the economy
as a whole and argue that all three claims are myths. We also present three underappreciated
facts about how the financial system intermediates funds between households and corporate busi-
nesses.Conventional analyses of the financial crisis focus on interest rate spreads. We argue that
such analyses may lead to mistaken inferences about the real costs of borrowing and argue that, dur-
ing financial crises, variations in the levels of nominal interest rates might lead to better inferences
about variations in the real costs of borrowing. Moreover, we argue that even if current increase
in spreads indicate increases in the riskiness of the underlying projects, by itself, this increase does
not necessarily indicate the need for massive government intervention. We call for policymakers to
articulate the precise nature of the market failure they see, to present hard evidence that differentiates
their view of the data from other views which would not require such intervention, and to share
with the public the logic and evidence that burnishes the case that the particular intervention they
are advocating will fix this market failure


I have this totally unorthodox view that a lot of this "crisis" is just manufactured by Chicken Hawk / Chicken Little GWB, who has listened to Bernanke and Paulson the way he listened to the "Weapons of Mass Destruction" intelligence and has set the whole thing off by stampeding Congress (and the Fed) into every sort of ill-advised accommodation.
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