Let's get this party started...
Gold & Silver poppin' and the gold & silver stocks hoppin'...
And with the light holiday trading volume (Friday's rally was on 1/3rd normal volume), we have a perfect storm for a little year end "tape painting rally" today and tomorrow.
So if you want a little "mad money" to scoop up all those post Christmas bargains... here's your trading opportunity.
And the good news for 2009, is that this rally is finally being powered by the fundamentals of a higher gold & silver price, lower energy costs, renewed geopolitical risk with Israel/Palestine and India/Pakistan, and weaker US Dollar fundamentals driven by simultaneous, extreme fiscal and monetary stimulus.
Gold since bottoming, is now up and (up BIG!) against virtually all paper currencies, as global central banks race to devalue their currencies to prop up their export markets, and as the bankster-gangsters employ both excessive fiscal and monetary stimulus:

Silver is looking especially interesting here, and could be a coiled spring ready to bust a quick $2-$3 move if this momentum continues into the new year...

Silver stocks also looking very interesting...
PAAS a leader here, has now reached parity/fair value with the silver price, however stocks like SLW and HL are still very, very cheap to the price of silver.
You may want to take profits on this rally on those stocks that have closed the valuation gap, and let those who haven't continue to run...



I've received a lot of questions about the US Dollar, and the inflation/deflation debate, and how that relates to trading the gold & silver stocks.
I'd like to get into a little more depth on this after the holidays, but let me say this...
The "trade" has rarely, if ever been on "where we are now."
The "trade" has been on the future expectations of where we will be in the future -- based on what the Fed & Central banks are doing in response to where we are now.
The deflationist's missed the massive trade on inflation in oil, energy, and precious metals that didn't peak until this March thru September... and they've been pounding the deflation drum for 2-3 years.
And now as we are seeing the "deflationary" forces (not deflation) of the collapse of a speculative credit & asset bubble... they are claiming a false victory - just as the inflation trade is once again taking off as Central Banks are engaging in mass monetary and fiscal stimulus.
But the inflationist's weren't much better, as they got the most bullish this spring calling for $200 oil, and $2000 gold, right at the top... and stayed bullish well into the correction of this summer.
And if that's not enough, many of those who were calling for a collapse of the US Dollar all the time it rallied mechanically into the forced liquidation of the market as a result of a "mechanical" demand for dollars to settle dollar denominated debt... have now turned bullish on the US Dollar, just as it's starting to roll over, and just as the fundamentals of the Dollar are being destroyed by reckless, and unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus....which is pushing gold higher.
...whodathunkit?!?!
Mo later,
S.O.T.B.
PS: And how 'bout them Irish!
I know, I know... it was Hawaii.
But, it was also a bowl game VICTORY... and for N.D. it's been a while <vbg>, and now Charlie Weiss can live out the South Bend winter in alumni/fan base purgatory vs. alumni/fan base hell. |