Signs of a bottom? Message Board

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Pastimes : Signs of a bottom?

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next

To: Nancy who wrote (23)	1/5/2009 4:56:31 PM
From: Sam Citron	Read Replies (1) of 26

Thanks for posting it Nancy. It's good to see a modest simplified statistical panorama of the magnitude and duration of a "typical economic crisis". Peak-to-trough mean decline and duration: house prices 35.5% 6 yrs equities 56% 3.4 yrs unemployment (rise) 7% 4.8 yrs GDP 9.3% 1.9 yrs real public debt burden(rise)86% increase 3 yrs after the crisis [I guess the last three are % points, not percent] Being somewhat risk-averse, I have decided not to hold my breath (or my portfolio) waiting for the aftermath of the present financial crisis. I guess it's nice to see that these things do eventually tend to end, even though the pesky Japanese case seems to go on and on. Sam

Report TOU Violation

Share This Post

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next