HSBC raises gold forecasts but cuts platinum and silver
Major banking group HSBC has upped its gold average price forecasts for 2009 and 2010 but these still are very conservative.
Posted: Friday , 09 Jan 2009
LONDON (Reuters) -
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HSBC said it is raising its 2009 and 2010 gold price forecasts on expectations the faltering global economy will prompt investors to buy into the metal as a haven from risk.
However, the bank cut its 2009 price view for platinum by 15 percent. It sees demand falling as the economic slowdown hits industrial users of the white metal, such as carmakers.
HSBC raised its 2009 gold forecast to $825 an ounce from $800, and its 2010 price view to $775 from $725, but left its long-term forecast at $700.
"We believe gold will attract safe-haven buying from risk-averse investors this year, as economic uncertainties are likely to persist for the foreseeable future," HSBC analyst James Steel said in a research note.
Demand for gold coins and bars is likely to remain strong in 2009, he said.
HSBC also sees mine supply falling on production cutbacks, declining ore grades and power constraints, and expects official sector selling, largely from central banks, to decline further.
The bank cut its platinum forecast to $1,100 an ounce from $1,300 for 2009 and its 2010 price view to $1,500 an ounce from $1,700. It is leaving its long-term platinum view unchanged at $1,450.
"Weak automotive demand for platinum will almost assuredly carry over into 2009, and other categories of industrial demand, including glass, chemicals and electronics, are also likely to decline this year," said Steel.
HSBC also reduced its 2009 silver forecast to $12.50 from $13.50, and cut its palladium price view for 2010 to $315 from $340 and its long-term forecast to $340 from $360, citing slowing demand.
(Reporting by Jan Harvey; Editing by Sue Thomas) |
