Waiting for the big Kahuna Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (84980)	1/14/2009 6:49:23 AM
From: Real Man	Read Replies (1) of 94695

We'll see. I think this scenario is very likely given the policies - a recovery (thanks to huge printing and injections) this year + a pickup of inflation. Then it all goes into black hole along with the bonds next year. A typical post-crash rally lasted 6-8 months. But then, of course, there is nothing typical about what we have today, the derivative collapse. It never happened before. Bernanke stands ready to print infinite amounts, thou. He said so, and he'll do it. Some form of 70-s but worse is more likely than outright great depression. -g- Message 25322128 An interesting observation from Victor Niederhoffer - everyone including me is counting on bond rally when stocks tank, and vice versa, but, according to his statistics, the anticorrelation thing happened about 50% of the time. So, shorting the bond is actually not the same thing as being long spoos - they both can go into the black hole together. -ggg-

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