Stock and Bond Market-Timing: Can it be Done? Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock and Bond Market-Timing: Can it be Done?

VTI 342.29

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Jan 29 4:00 PM EST

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To: Math Junkie who wrote (40)	1/16/2009 3:52:25 PM
From: Kirk ©	Read Replies (1) of 3605

Where did you get the 388% for the S&P500? Also, if you go back to inception, a couple of more years than 20, he under performed in those early years.... This is what Hulbert wrote in March 2008: "Brinker’s fund selections on average have lagged the market. The HFD reports an 11.5% annualized gain for his “Aggressive” portfolio, which is 0.9 percentage points per year less than what this portfolio would have made if each of its funds were invested in the DJ Wilshire 5000 during the times they were owned.” That doesn't seem to fit with what you wrote. Hulbert admits he leaves off the QQQ too. "Please note: In late 2000, Brinker forecasted a several-month bear market rally and recommended an investment in the NASDAQ 100 Index, a trade that turned out quite unprofitably. However, because Brinker at the time of making this forecast chose not to make this trade part of his model portfolios, his HFD record has not suffered as a result." __ March 2008 by Mark Hulbert on Pg 3 of the March 2008 issue of "The Hulbert Financial Digest" It would be interesting to see where the errors are.

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