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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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To: MulhollandDrive who wrote (177770)1/18/2009 4:56:23 PM
From: THRead Replies (3) of 306849
 
MD,

I do forecasts every 30 days, and I thought my December forecast was conservative at 10.5 million units. Now I have learned that JCI is forecasting 9.2-9.7 million units. Either range is death for the US OEM and the suppliers.

I expect many suppliers to be gone by the end of the year, with a big wave starting in the next two months.

It is going to be ugly. But hey, large truck sales are picking up again, cause gas is 2 clownbucks. Bet that trend does not continue (and mean both gas/oil down and large truck sales up).

GT
TH
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