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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock and Bond Market-Timing: Can it be Done?
VTI 342.29-0.2%Jan 29 4:00 PM EST
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To: Math Junkie who wrote (114)1/23/2009 7:50:52 PM
From: joefromspringfield  Read Replies (2) of 3605
 
Math

Can you explain why the performance numbers Brinker reported for 2008 are different than the numbers Hulbert reported?

Here are the numbers Brinker reported:

P-1 = -39.7%
P-2 = -37.4%
P-3 = -23.9%

Here are the numbers Hulbert reported in Jan. HFD:

P-1 = -38.5% (timing only? -37%)
P-2 = -36.9%
P-3 = -18.1%

Since Brinker didn't report his one year 2008 numbers on his website, I calculate his returns. My number agreed with what Brinker reported above. It looks to me like Hulbert is grading on the curve. No wonder Brinker made his honor roll.
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