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Politics : Welcome to Slider's Dugout

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To: jim_p who wrote (15038)2/3/2009 2:15:31 PM
From: Amark$p3 Recommendations  Read Replies (3) of 50414
 
What is your thought process on grains, e.g. DBA or RJA.

Do you think corn, wheat, soybeans, sugar will maintain their relative value...?

My thought process is precious metals, oil and grains will outperform US Treasuries, money market funds, etc.

Per prior article, seems that sovereign debt may no longer be safe...

In regard to deflation/inflation debate, still deflation until we see velocity of money increase. The M-1 multiplier falling to .945 in December 2008 was shocking...
geocities.com
"Pumping more dollars into the economy is not being "multiplied", so each subsequent new dollar added has less and less of an impact.Mr. Bernanke jokingly said in 2002 that he could always twart deflation by dropping unlimited dollars from helicopters -- with a negative M1 Multiplier, those dollars are more likely to be hoarded than spent."

If and when we see M-1 multiplier start rising, then I think we see inflation.
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