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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold & Gold Stock Analysis

GLD 393.24

+1.1%

Dec 11 4:00 PM EST

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To: jimsioi who wrote (17579)	2/12/2009 8:43:54 PM
From: Tommaso	Read Replies (2) of 29622

Sinclair (a none too sane commentator) seems to think there are considerable risks in the gold funds. I guess that would go double for a double gold fund. I would appreciate the most astute commentary possible on this: Don't you think it is about time GLD and all the other popular international gold ETFs told its owners exactly what kind of gold they claim to own? Can you imagine a situation where a person buys a gold ETF to own "non-gold" but finds out that they in reality own OTC derivatives on gold? That would be an investment in the same type of financial instrument (not gold) that one owns gold bullion to protect against. The failure to unearth the Madoff scandal becomes incredible when one understands that the returns from the market claimed on the size of the hedge fund were logically impossible. The exact same reasoning screams bloody murder when applied to the many Gold EFTs in terms of what it is they really own. This begs one major question: From where did all the gold claimed to be owned by all the gold ETFs come from? Where did funds such as GLD get their additional 45 tons in the last month? We certainly can forget about that gold coming from the Comex. 12 deliveries would stand out like a sore thumb. This concept and record keeping eliminates all exchanges around the globe as the source of bullion delivery in any size to all Gold ETFs. The physical market is so tight that coin minting has all but closed down compared to what it was one year ago. It is hard to accept that the Gold EFTs can buy what the mints can't. A read of the original prospectus removes any thought that the gold is leased, but leaves one to invite probability. That probability is that the claimed gold can only be OTC derivative long positions. If that is so then the financial reliability of the paper stands on the foundation of the balance sheet of the granting counter party to the OTC derivative. This is true regardless of whether it is a mine or naked speculator. Don't you think it is about time the gold ETFs told their owners exactly what kind of gold it is that they claim to own? Can you imagine a situation where a person buys a gold ETF to own "non-gold" but finds out that they in reality own OTC derivatives on gold? That would be an investment in the same type of financial instrument (not gold) that one owns gold bullion to protect against. I think you own an ETF of derivatives, not of gold! If I am correct then there is no clearinghouse guarantee for the OTC derivative to function. Like so many other surprises of the last two years the Gold ETF shareholder may actually have no gold at all. A perfect Ponzi scheme would allow you to surrender shares for bullion. You need only think about it.

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