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Strategies & Market Trends : Chart Analysis of the DOW

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From: zigzagman2/13/2009 8:12:48 PM
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S&P heads to first quarter ever of negative earnings:

Financials the biggest factor in decline, but ConocoPhillips has impact as well.

By Kate Gibson, MarketWatch
Last update: 4:29 p.m. EST Feb. 13, 2009

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- As Wall Street tracks Washington's moves to help the beleaguered banking sector and push through a massive economic stimulus, nearly 400 of the S&P's 500 companies have weighed in and reported a collective loss, even excluding the financials.

"This is the worst; after the sixth quarter of negative growth, it will be the first quarter ever of negative earnings." said Howard Silverblatt, Standard & Poor's.

A sixth quarter of negative growth ties the prior record set when Harry Truman was president, running from the first quarter of 1951 to the second quarter of 1952.

"Next quarter, we're expecting a new record of seven quarters of negative growth," Silverblatt added.

As of the close of business Thursday, Silverblatt calculates S&P earnings per share, on a reported basis, at a loss of $10.44 for the quarter. If financials were taken out of the equation, that deficit would drop to $2.35 a share.

"The majority of it is financials, but the biggest issue to hit as reported -- the worst charge -- was ConocoPhillips, which accounted for $3.66," said Silverblatt.

Income from continuing operations at the companies in the S&P 500 that already have reported earnings fell $90.8 billion, with financials contributing $70.4 billion of the decline. Conoco accounted for $31.9 billion of the shortfall, said Silverblatt.

Financials also led losses in Friday trades, while telecommunication issues fronted the gains. The major indexes meandered in and out of positive and negative territory before ending near session lows. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 82.35 points, or 1%, to finish at 7,850.41, giving the blue-chip gauge a 5.2% slide from last Friday's close.

The Dow is now "too heavily weighted in financials to accurately reflect the current business mix of this country," said Marc Pado, U.S. market strategist, Cantor Fitzgerald.

The S&P 500 Index declined 8.35 points, or 1%, to end at 826.84, translating into a 4.8% weekly drop, and the Nasdaq Composite Index shed 7.35 points, or 0.5%, to 1,534.36

With 84.8% of the market value and 390 issues reported, operating earnings, which includes income from products or services and excludes financing and other costs, are down 62% from the fourth quarter of 2007, Silverblatt said.

On Capitol Hill, lawmakers prepared for final votes as early as Friday afternoon on the huge economic-stimulus plan backed by the White House.

marketwatch.com
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