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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 399.02+0.1%Dec 19 4:00 PM EST
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To: carranza2 who wrote (46644)2/21/2009 3:19:30 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (3) of 218649
 
per richard russell, looks like we have another 90% to fallllllllll

Did the recent great bull market start at Dow 776.92 in 1982 or Dow 759.13 in 1980? I picked 776.92 in 1982 as the start of the bull market. The bull market ended in October 2007 at Dow 14164.53.

Turning to the 50% Principle, the halfway level of the entire bull market of 1982 to 2007 is 7470. Yesterday the Dow closed at 7466, 4 points below the halfway level.

On this basis, the 50% Principle has turned bearish. According to the 50% Principle, if the Dow closes below the halfway level of the preceding major advance, the Dow can decline towards and even test the level from which the advance started. To do that, the Dow would ultimately have to test the area from which the bull market started -- that area was 776.92.
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