In Texas, Hutchinson leads Perry with ‘landslide’ numbers, says poll
Tuesday, February 24, 2009, 01:31 PM Political Insider The Atlanta Journal-Constitution ajc.com
U.S. Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchinson would beat incumbent Republican Rick Perry “in a landslide” if a primary for governor of Texas were held today, according to a North Carolina polling firm.
Public Policy Polling currently has Hutchinson at 56 percent, and Perry at 31 percent.
Read the polling memo here. Says PPP:
That 27% of likely Republican voters who have a dim view of Perry is obviously part of his problem. Those voters support Hutchison 85-8.
But they’re not necessarily the biggest thing that could keep him from nomination for another term. That’s because 47% of those surveyed have a positive opinion of both Hutchison and Perry, but within that group the Senator leads 49-33. When you have higher negatives than your opponent and lose out among your mutual admirers, that’s a recipe for defeat.
Hutchison leads Perry within every demographic group by race, gender, and age.
“Rick Perry is in grave danger of losing in the primary,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “It’s partly because he’s worn out his welcome with a certain segment of the Republican electorate, but the even bigger reason is that Kay Bailey Hutchison is just a lot more popular than him. It would be hard for anyone to beat her in an election.” |