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Politics : American Presidential Politics and foreign affairs

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To: Peter Dierks who wrote (33689)3/5/2009 10:19:50 PM
From: DuckTapeSunroof  Read Replies (1) of 71588
 
Re: "In today's Rasmussen survey, President Obama's approval rating is down to 61 percent"

Are you anal about the daily tracking polls?

When (a week ago) his total approval percentile was 59 you said his popularity with the public was collapsing... one week later (with his popularity risen back to 61% of the public) you say he is "declining", LOL!

Peter --- are you not aware that ALL OF THIS is FULLY with the normal margin of error for these polls?

And that these are just daily tracking polls (with shifting casts of participants, selected at random)....

Geeze guy... a point here or there is PERFECTLY NORMAL, especially with a 3.5% (or greater) mathematical margin of error for the sample size.

<GGG>

AS any and all of the major national pollsters will clearly point out (and do point out in their write-ups for these various poll samples) The President's support has been rather STEADY in the little time post-inauguration that these samples have been run... bouncing EXTREMELY NORMALLY between the high fifties and the high sixties. :-)

It is pretty silly to try to draw some kind of deep meaning from normal fluctuations right around the expected margin of error!

(Geeze... get back with us when a clear statistical TREND becomes visible. I'm sure trends will emerge in the data series given enough time. ;-)
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