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Strategies & Market Trends : Ride the Tiger with CD

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To: pocotrader who wrote (149954)	3/6/2009 2:25:21 PM
From: Nevada9999	Read Replies (1) of 313656

A retroactive way of thinking of it I guess. Everytime I hear Greenspan, I think 21% interest rates in our future. All the years of Greenspan's low rates and bubbles mean that someone like Volcker will need to clean up the mess. We have been seeing huge economic stimulus for more than ten years during what I think will soon be recognized as the top of the business cycle. As that strategy finally implodes on itself and government tries to cope by exponentially increasing the same strategy there is no likely result other than hyperinflation. A 21% interest rate is negative in real terms if inflation is 22%. Inflation in Weimar Germany or Zimbabwe were in the trillions of percent, so 22 is not a huge number. This may sound crazy, but it would be really easy to make a list of current events that would have sounded crazy a year ago. Volcker was burned in effigy. He didn't do what he did to become a pop icon. He did it because it was what had to be done to avert disaster. Unfortunately, I think we are in a much deeper hole this time around.

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