Precisely, the sentiment is so bearish, even a little ray of hope will spark a major rally. However, we are witnessing distressed selling to pay debt. No, I am not talking new highs for the stock market here, just a rally to at least 50 MA, more likely 200 MA. If it does happen, then this will be a major rally from here. -g-
A catalyst? Fed NOT paying interest on reserves anymore because of ZIRP, so the money sitting at the Fed will come out. It's coming out. This is power money in credit markets. Basically, the same banks that shorted everything will now buy assets cheap as J6P panics.
While I am not a conspiracy theorist, there is a number of highly suspicious activies.
One is pushing for elimination of curbs in June/July 2007.
Another one is elimination of uptick on October, 26, 2008 that went into effect 2 weeks later, exactly when the bear market started.
Yet another one is the Fed paying interest on reserves, causing the melt.
Why? Someone powerful enough to push these changes through definitely shorted the Hell out of these markets. When do they cover? |