WAVX: Wave Systems Corp. Message Board

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Technology Stocks : WAVX: Wave Systems Corp.

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From: TREND1	3/13/2009 12:16:56 AM
	of 604

I find this post interesting. ********************************** Posted by: oclv99 Date: Thursday, March 12, 2009 11:46:04 PM In reply to: Donald Duck who wrote msg# 176172 Post # of 176175 Q1 Guess based on SKS comments today: If we assume that Q1 Expenses will come in at $5.7M based on his estimate, and assuming those cost reductions were in Place January 1st (unlikely), Then we can calculate that January's burn was $1.9m. Since we know that January's sales were somewhere North of that, let's assume January sales were $1.95M. We know that (as SKS told us) January was an atypically strong month. Assuming February was 20% lower = $1.56M. Then maybe in March a ramp-up in sales continues by 5% , 1.05 x $1.56 = $1.64. Add in the $250k from the Government consulting agreement, and you get Q1 total sales of $1.95 + $1.56 + $1.64 + .25 = $5.4M. Plus or minus 10% and you get a range of $4.86M to $5.94M. The bottom line is unless some disaster strikes, we are within a month or two of breakeven. The naysayers will bet on that disaster happening, but I am pretty confident that sustained growth will continue, albeit slower than we would like. The question in my mind is, when we reach a documented BE run rate what will the resultant stock price be? I am guessing somewhere around $2.00/share. One big announcement (say a Gov't contract) and we should rocket past $5.00. All IMHO. oclv

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