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Politics : A US National Health Care System?

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To: Lane3 who wrote (6335)3/13/2009 12:39:56 PM
From: TimF  Read Replies (1) of 42652
 
I agree that observational studies should be very heavily discounted as evidence for causation (also if their is causation you have to consider which way it goes, hypothetically people with heart problems may have less energy and thus put less effort in to their personal grooming, and thus shave less often).

Not sure I'd say they are totally useless other than generating hypotheses, esp when the correlations are extremely strong, the groups observed very large, and the time period is also long, but they shouldn't normally be given a lot of weight. Correlation may suggest causation, but it is very true that it doesn't mean or imply causation.

I think I posted to you once about how major league pitchers who's names started with K had more strikeouts that the average. And since K means "strikeout" some people thought this interesting. But the percentage over average is very small, and K is not the top letter for names/strikeout percentages, or in the top 5 and I think maybe not in the top 10, its more about people jumping to notice interesting coincidences than any serious connection. And even if K was number 1, that wouldn't seriously imply causation.
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