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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host
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To: Boca_PETE who wrote (42784)4/14/2009 12:52:10 PM
From: Kirk ©  Read Replies (1) of 42834
 
We do know about the results of his formal advice to subscribers from his published newsletter.

Vanguard's Total Bond fund made about 5.1% last year and the GNMA fund there did 2% or so more.

Mark Hulbert says Brinker's "Fixed income only" portfolio in Marketimer lost 2.1% last year.

Brinker's "Marketimer" model portfolio #1 lost 39.7% last year.
Brinker's "Marketimer" model portfolio #2 lost 37.4 last year.
Brinker's "Marketimer" model portfolio #3 lost 23.9 last year.

50% in Total Bond and 50% in VTSMX "only" lost 16%, beating Brinker's P3 by nearly 8%!

Mark Hulbert says Brinker's "fixed income advisor" model portfolio #1 lost 21.7% last year.
Mark Hulbert says Brinker's "fixed income advisor" model portfolio #2 lost 11.5% last year.
Mark Hulbert says Brinker's "fixed income advisor" model portfolio #3 lost 5.2% last year.

I repeat, the Total Bond Index Fund at Vanguard made 5.1% last year.

ALL FOUR of Brinker's fixed income ONLY portfolios lost money in an up year for fixed income.

Does Brinker have any credibility left? His fixed income newsletter, that I think was started in case his aggressive Marketimer didn't do well and we really had a secular bear, screwed the pooch.
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