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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (197168)4/20/2009 7:15:03 PM
From: Les HRead Replies (2) of 306849
 
Everyone was certain that a housing bubble could be popped safely because the national median housing price had never gone down before. At least, that's what I was told back in an investment seminar in 2005 held by one of the WS firms. The Fed would safely prick the housing bubble and prop up median housing prices. The money would flow into stocks and they would go up 30% in 2 years. If anything went wrong, the Fed would save the day by cutting interest rates and rev up Ben's helicopter. Inflation and the stock market wealth effect would bail out residential housing. Looking back, they failed to consider the role of subprime lending in housing, the adverse effect of inflation on those borrowers, and the limited trickledown of the wealth effect in that sector...
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