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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index
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To: NOW who wrote (198195)4/26/2009 12:02:03 PM
From: RockyBalboaRead Replies (1) of 306849
 
swine flu is reportedly much less mortal than bird flu; the real concern is that it is easily contracted between humans (something bird flu failed to attain) and just the fact that it hardly kills, just sickens. It is a similar strain to the spanish flu of the early 20th century. The spanish flu grew into a real pandemic.

... 8 people got sick and they are wondering why no deaths? the same article hints at a death rate in mexico of 1 in 20...

1 in 20; a death rate of D= 5%; not a big concern - it does mean that out of 8 people infected the statistical odds that all survive it is (1-D)^8 or 66%.

A recombination of European and US flu:

The new strain appears to be a recombinant between two older strains. Preliminary genetic characterization found that the hemagglutinin (HA) gene was similar to that of swine flu viruses present in U.S. pigs since 1999, but the neuraminidase (NA) and matrix protein (M) genes resembled versions present in European swine flu isolates. Viruses with this genetic makeup had not previously been found to be circulating in humans or pigs, but there is no formal national surveillance system to determine what viruses are circulating in pigs in the U.S.
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