SARS and Avian Flu Message Board

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Biotech / Medical : SARS and Avian Flu

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To: Maurice Winn who wrote (4091)	5/3/2009 4:07:19 AM
From: Maurice Winn	1 Recommendation of 4232

Game over for H5N1: who.int x = 10 deaths ..... Death rate 2003......4...x ........ 100% 2004....32...xxx ........ 75% 2005....42...xxxx ....... 40% 2006....80...xxxxxxxx ..... 69% 2007....59...xxxxxx........67% 2008....33...xxx ..........75% 2009.... 7 deaths of 26 cases so far to 23 April, so the death rate has dropped again and at that rate, by the end of the year there should be only a dozen deaths. Looks as though birds have developed enough immunity to put the kibosh on it, and humans didn't get to self-sustaining mode. But the death rate finished on a high so it's as fatal as ever. H1N1 aka swine flu looks as though it's a fizzer too with a low death rate and probably not becoming pandemic though it still has potential. Mqurice

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