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Strategies & Market Trends : Longer-Term Market Trends

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To: Perspective who wrote (2168)5/8/2009 9:54:50 PM
From: skinowski1 Recommendation   of 3209
 
In 1999 one could IPO dogshit, and it would fly - provided it had a web site. The euphoria was at a level which today is hard to imagine. Personally, I think it makes sense that the super bubbly great top broke in 2000. As a result, our infinitely wise (ass) leaders went berserk fighting "deflation" -- which, in turn, provided the needed ingredients for the credit bubble.

2000-02 Bear was very substantial. OTC was devastated, and even SPX lost about 50%

As I look at the monthly chart of SPX I cannot help thinking that the two great tops are part of the same structure. A great economy like the one we have would necessarily take a long time as it enters a period of volatility and rolls over into a secular bear stage.
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