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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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To: Think4Yourself who wrote (203886)5/23/2009 11:27:53 AM
From: ChanceIsRead Replies (2) of 306849
 
>>> Many people compare now to the Great Depression. <<<

I think that you are correct about this being a head fake. I see no reason not to test the November lows. In fact, after every major blowoff - and we had a major blow off - there has been a retest of what - only in the rearview - was the low. Soooooo November might have been the bottom (I place only 40% odds it was) but a retest of that low is very, very likely, regardless.

I saw that Ross Stores posted very strong (record?) earnings Thursday. It makes sense - the cheap retailer in hard times. Shorting chickens is therefore risky - probably the protein source of choice in hard times. But then again there are soybeans/tofu.

SAFM and TSN look like a lot of other charts. They have come too far too fast. Like the banks, their means to generate capital was 50% gutted with the big corn squeeze last summer. Their margins might return, but they will only be applied to 60% of the former business. A long time to heal story.

Then again there is the Memorial Day spike and bust aspect. I am in for a short time only.

Sure is good to see Buffalo Wild Wings tanking. I would think that wings would be a leading indicator for chickens.

Chicken wings are gross. So much fat per unit of meat. I never saw the attraction.
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