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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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To: ChanceIs who wrote (207491)6/18/2009 8:19:13 PM
From: PerspectiveRead Replies (2) of 306849
 
It's a rare pleasure to find those setups where you go "gee, if A happens, then security X goes down, but if A doesn't happen, security X goes down as well." I agree that if the recovery were to continue, bond yields would keep rising. And if Bernanke keeps monetizing, bond yields will also rise. However, I think that Bernanke knows better than to monetize much more. It's completely self-defeating, and he knows it. The market has called his bluff.

Thus, I come to a different conclusion about TBT. Bernanke is boxed and can't afford to buy up much for paper since it would only end up boosting rates further. And the green shoots crowd has been smoking something. I think the inflation scare will soon wane, as we revisit the nemesis of deleveraging: deflation.

`BC
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