Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

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To: Claude Cormier who wrote (98816)	6/23/2009 2:14:28 AM
From: Amark$p	Read Replies (1) of 116555

Some Common Falacies about Inflation and Deflation: The Weimar Nightmare in Review. Let me put in my 2 cents... Until we see M-1 multiplier above 1, we will not have inflation: research.stlouisfed.org Per above link, M-1 Multiplier has been below 1 for past 5 months. What we will see in my opinion, is inflationary expectations that creep into a rising M-1 multiplier. I do not pretend to know when this will be... I don't care if US is deleveraging or in deflation or not, it will be inflationary expectations that rule the day. And inflationary expectations will show up first in M-1 multiplier.

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