It's 20% in reality pending statistical tricks. Yes, it does work. Unemployment is 95% in Zimbabwe, even though you hate this parallel, the Fed is printing money hand over fist and they go directly to financial, not real economy. In other words, that printing supports the house of cards with no real manufacturing activity. However, since it does support it, I would not bet against that at this time. Unless of course... interest rates start really rocking from here, which would be very bearish and a signature of monetary policy failure, something we need to be watching for this year.
The amounts of confetti at the Fed is unlimited, and they are using it in unlimited fashion these days, which makes these markets not shortable, except short term. Their main concern is that the house of cards they built will collapse, and it almost did. There are no attempts to really diffuse the derivative bomb, just prop it as usual. The amounts are huge, measured as a large fraction of the GDP of this country and the World already. We are going Zimbabwian, and Spoos will exceed 100K in 3 years. The choice has been made, the Fed chose the "easy path" to a complete Hell of disintegrating our money system. Have some fun
youtube.com |