Interdigital Communication(IDCC) Message Board

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Technology Stocks : Interdigital Communication(IDCC)

IDCC 381.63

-3.8%

Nov 4 3:59 PM EST

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From: nicmar	7/12/2009 1:10:33 PM
	of 5195

Interesting point of view from ihub. "Posted by: olddog967 Date: Thursday, July 02, 2009 8:23:43 PM In reply to: rmarchma who wrote msg# 261771 Post # of 262506 [Send a link via email] ron: Considering a settlement as favorable to IDCC, your "gut feeling" of an 80% chance of a positive outcome for IDCC is almost identical to that for overall ITC actions. I previously posted the results of a study on the outcome of ITC filings. The study contained the following figures; Settlement...211.....52% Violation......109.....27% No violation...85.....21% Total...........405....100% siliconinvestor.com in reply to: Jim thanks for sharing your opinion. If I felt the same as you that there is a 97% chance of a settlement and only a 3% chance of going to a decision, I would be back in this stock PRONTO. However, my gut feeling is not anywhere near yours. I subjectively feel that the probabilty of settlement before the ALJ ruling is about 60%. Of the remaining 40%, I give a 20% chance of a favorable ruling to IDCC and a 20% chance of a favorable ruling to Nokia. Therefore at this point, I subjectively assign an overall 80% chance of a positive outcome to IDCC and a 20% chance of a positive outcome to Nokia."

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