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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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To: MulhollandDrive who wrote (212227)7/24/2009 10:39:58 AM
From: Jim McMannisRead Replies (1) of 306849
 
How About The Truth?

thelastgoodidea.blogspot.com


This US News/Yahoo article lists several reasons why foreclosures continue to rise and talks about the outlook for the markets. They are all valid reasons, but none of them are the actual reason. The author of this piece either works for the NAR or he's totally deluded.

His first argument is unemployment. I don't really buy into this reason. Every downward cycle in the economy has had its unemployment casualties. While I can't find any hard numbers, I am guessing the relationship between foreclosures and unemployment has been fairly closely related from one recession to the next. I feel for the casualties of the recession. These people are usually the innocent bystanders.

The author’s next contributing factor is plunging home values. I guess I see the rationale here. Why pay for something that is worth less, or even way less than you owe? However, I don't buy that there are massive hoards of people sending the keys to the bank and walking away from a mortgage that they can afford. If you’re walking away from a mortgage you can afford, I can understand the business rationale, but I still think you’re the scum of the earth for bailing on a contractual agreement.

Lastly, the author cites the end of foreclosure moratoriums. This is just camouflage. Someone who got a free ride for the last 6-8 months, finally getting foreclosed does not mean there is a rise in foreclosures. They should have gotten the ax months ago, but we decided to pause and look around and see if there was a way to avoid the inevitable. These are the exact fools who provided the fuel for this debacle. I despise you, because I am the person who you priced out of the market and I am the person who is now getting stuck with the tab for trying to bail you out.

Not once, not one single time in this 750 word piece did the author cite the one reason for all these foreclosures. An overwhelming majority of the people getting foreclosed today, are getting booted from their homes because they were fools who couldn't afford the house in the first place. Its that plain and simple. I don't know why our media and elected leadership in Washington can't get that through their thick skulls. Robert Reich said in his blog that we're basically playing a new ball game. Thats a pretty accurate apprasial of the situation. I believe that the more time and resources we devote to trying to get back to playing the old game, the longer and more difficult this recession will be.
Posted by Dead End at 7:10 AM
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