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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

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To: Amark$p who wrote (101096)8/20/2009 8:12:14 PM
From: Elroy Jetson  Read Replies (4) of 116555
 
Creditors of American consumers and businesses will not be repaid with cheaper Dollars. They will mostly not be repaid at all! Stop and think.

U.S. banks are but a small part of this picture. Creditors around the world hold this debt. Debt which is being liquidated through foreclosure and bankruptcy. What part of this is difficult to understand?

You notice from the chart that U.S. government debt totals 80% of GDP and this will rise somewhat, perhaps even as high as 100% of GDP. But as you point out, the total ratio will certainly rise as high as 400% of GDP before the liquidation takes cuts it down.

That's debt worth 300% of the U.S. GDP, most of which is simply going to vanish in court proceedings!

This deleveraging will be the largest reduction in the number of U.S. Dollars in history.

What about consumer spending? Let's see. What do you think will happen to most consumers if their debt had been eliminated a few years earlier? They will chastened, to be sure, but their income which previously went to pay for debt service is now available for consumption.

I bet you can't even conceive of what is just starting to occur.
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