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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Grantcw who wrote (35213)8/23/2009 1:59:28 PM
From: Jurgis Bekepuris  Read Replies (1) of 78753
 
I own some ACTS. On one hand the company buys back shares. On the other hand, it makes about 7.7M share dilution for their employees (sorry, can't find the reference anymore). And they are losing money right now with unclear future. IMHO, it's not a buy, it may be a weak hold. I am holding it partially because I don't see much better ideas right now.

Overall, my philosophy is to buy only (marginally) profitable net-nets. Money losing net-nets usually continue to lose it until they have no more. There are some exceptions to the rule but not many.

Couple other rules:

- Avoid perennial net-nets. Usually if they haven't found a way out in 2-3 years, they never will.
- Definitely avoid biotech net-nets unless you know how to invest in biotech, which is completely other set of rules compared to regular investing. (Chinese medical companies don't count here, since they are usually distributors + nutrition companies, so they don't operate in USA biotech model).
- Avoid obsolete or near-obsolete technology net nets. If they could not figure out how not to become obsolete, they won't figure it out now. (There are some exceptions: KONG and HRAY did very well, but then they are Chinese companies with opportunities appearing even if tech is rather obsolete).
- Avoid distributor, 1-2%-margin net nets. 1% net margin IS the reason why they are net nets and they won't change.

Of course, with all these rules, you may guess how many net-nets I can find to buy usually. Right. Zero. :)

Take care.
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