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Technology Stocks : The *NEW* Frank Coluccio Technology Forum

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From: Frank A. Coluccio9/16/2009 2:26:59 PM
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Focused on foresight: An interview with the US’s national intelligence officer for warning

Kenneth Knight shares lessons from a career spent analyzing and preparing for the unknown.

SEPTEMBER 2009 | McKinsey Quarterly

Video and accompanying transcript: bit.ly [~15 min ]

Abstract:

"I’ve been in this business 30 years. I would say almost everything I learned in the first 25 years is challengeable. And so to believe that expertise comes with longevity, to believe that my successful past model has always got me through and therefore will continue to get me through, to believe that that analytic framework and my metric system—what I use to value in terms of information sources or in terms of the credibility of my analytic process—to assume that the way that was 5 years ago is the way it is today or will be that way 5 years in the future, I just think gets us into trouble."

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