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Technology Stocks : Seagate Technology
STX 285.27+0.9%Dec 24 4:00 PM EST

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To: Certafied who wrote (3966)10/31/1997 2:32:00 AM
From: Jacky AY  Read Replies (1) of 7841
 
Will we see the price go to ~ $17? Or ~$21 with Hambrecht & Quist revision of $1.40?

I don't really know it's appropriate to value SEG using PE now. First of all, the earning shortfall is perceived to be temporary. Wall St. ANALysts and us, shareholders, expect SEG to come back strong in 1998 and thereafter. Therefore, a certain premium is paid for today's price. Secondly, SEG has a book value of about 14.5/sh. It's extremely rare for a technology leader to sell for less than 2x BV. When the shaky market recovers, the industry leader should lead the rest of the sector higher.

If you would look at the picture boardly, the outlook of entire DD industry is healthy. SEG, QNTM, WDC should double in 1 yr. (If you don't believe me, just look at summer 96 techstocks turmoil; you'll understand what I mean...)
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