hello ep, i think, regarding
<<Not very likely, but not impossible>>
... just the possibility is enough, to get events rolling somewhere, and actually, given the math, more than likely if we define likely as anything over 35% probability;
<<How will Russia see rising Islam in Europe ? Will they then feel surronded ?>>
... they will figure, initially, that europe has it coming, and will be neutered as a result, whatever the final outcome, likely and otherwise.
<<How will China see rising Islam in Europe ? As a destabalizing force ? Does China want a very paranoid Russia (as opposed to a moderately paranoid Russia ?)>>
... china would see a busy europe and a paranoid russia with attention on the western frontier as ... an opportunity for global peace ;0)
<<How will the US see this ? Putting aside the US urging the EU to admit Turkey, would a partialy Islamized Europe serve US interests ?>>
... team usa already fully engaged, on borrowed money, and will have little to say or act on the issue.
<<Two of these players - US and Russia - have a demonstrated ability to stir things up in Europe>>
... not this time, post eu and euro, because europe can play the china card on both hegemons, with effective impunity, given russian and american performance in georgia, sordid and cowardly, would think out a third way to engage with both, as an united equal.
<<Finally, I think some (not all) of the European elites have decided the the Islamic push has gone far enough, and they will be looking for ways to stop it or roll it back.>>
... i dare say your take is correct on this, though i figure the mathe will drive the equation already set in stone. whatever the elite may try that is sordid, europe would be engulfed.
europe can simply surrender, for that be how the numbers would work out. |