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Politics : American Presidential Politics and foreign affairs

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To: DuckTapeSunroof who wrote (38771)	11/18/2009 7:05:08 PM
From: TimF	Read Replies (2) of 71588

Way, WAY too many "ifs". That's two ifs, not many. And one of them is assumed in the question if your analyzing a health care "reform" proposal ("if this program passes", if it doesn't then obviously its policy effect is nil). So its really only one if (if it doesn't get repealed of massively changed for a sufficient length of time for its impact to be felt. I would have no confidence at all* in that exact scenario ever playing out in reality.* Do you have tremendously more confidence for the bill to be enacted and new program maintained for 10 years (as in the estimates you do seem to like), than for 15 or 20? (Which would fit my scenario. Other than the fact that its the official CBO requirement, what's so magical about 10 years?

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