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Biotech / Medical : Biomatrix (BXM) Looking Great

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To: ForYourEyesOnly who wrote (161)11/2/1997 11:31:00 AM
From: John McCarthy  Read Replies (1) of 569
 
THC -

I understand your point and logic.

Synvisc has been sold in Canada (RPR) and Sweden (Roche) for
about 2 years.

There is NO growth built into the 98 Revenue $.

This is by design.

98 revenue $ for both countries reflect my best guess
at ACTUAL 97 $.

To wit:
Synvisc:prior to 98, revenue $ NEVER more than $1.2 mil. a qtr.

With regard to (a) International sales and (b) prior year
sales:

(1) Please DO NOT fall into the trap of "If you build a
stadium they will come." They won't.

You REQUIRE marketing and sales force $.

(2) Synvisc is insignificant and perhaps not even
meaningful to RPR and Roche, respectively.

Each company has their own focus.

Lastly, if you were forecasting a 98 P&L (for anything),
after enough iterations of *bad* changes you
would come to discover the best thing to do is
build out of it, as many BAD SURPRIZES as possible.

From the point of License Fees on down, this is a SAFE
P&L.

With respect to ALL REVENUES except (AHP) this is a SAFE
P&L.

So there is really only 1 question mark? <g>

Let's go AHP!

You just spent $16.0 mil. of your shareholders monies.

Regards,

John McCarthy
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