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Technology Stocks : FDC : First Data Corp
FDC 31.690.0%Aug 5 5:00 PM EST

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To: FDHIII who wrote (121)11/3/1997 12:55:00 AM
From: Uncle Mikey  Read Replies (1) of 323
 
I think I am going to do a little buying tomorrow. From what I can tell FDC's merchant processing business has been slower than expected. This is a primary source of revenue and they further talked down estimates for next year. Value Line has an estimated EPS in 1998 of 1.95. First Call is now 1.75. That's a big drop. But FC still estimates 5 year growth at 20%.

Just a few months ago everyone was touting this stock as a premier way to play electronic commerce. They missed a Q by 2 cents and announced business is going to be a bit slow in the near term. Boom - everyone hates the stock!

Are all of those statements about FDC being very well positioned in e commerce all of a sudden null and void? Don't think so. Sometimes the best times to buy a stock is when everyone hates it. From it's current 29 1/4 I wouldn't think there was much downside, but......

Here is an interesting link to an interesting site that gives, among other things, an anticipated price range based on past PE ranges, Cash flow etc.

You will need to register by typing in "guest" for both your name and password - you may need to go back to the site's main page and find your way back to the "risk and reward" report for FDC the site is free until min-NOvemeber

gdorian.com

For those who don't follow back t the link, highlights are that, from 1992 - 1997 (current period excluded!) FDC traded in a PE range from
20.49 - 30, and a price/cash flow of 12 - 18. Based on this data FDC SHOULD, be expected to trade in a range between $41 and $59.50.

The RR report is pretty one dimensional in that it ignores a lot of "story" information, but I think it makes a good case for FDC being undervalued at this point.
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