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Politics : The Obama - Clinton Disaster

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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (23885)12/31/2009 4:20:10 AM
From: DuckTapeSunroof  Read Replies (1) of 103300
 
Re: [The Dollar looks to be a pretty good spec. for the near-to-mid-term now...] "I agree..."

The Dollar's current rally may just be a normal 'over-sold bounce', and it may run out of some steam by Spring... but I expect that once the Fed starts tightening (indicating that rising interest rates are imminent), probably toward the end of 2010, that there may well be a big sustained Dollar Bull that starts up around then, if not a bit before then even.

Based on the US's superior growth prospects (and even superior deficit reduction prospects) when measured against all of Europe, and much of the rest of the developed world as well, we could be facing a 'King Dollar' situation of perhaps too much Dollar strength in an Obama second term (coming off the eight year Bush II decline for the Dollar), just as it was argued that the Dollar was too strong throughout the last four or five Clinton years (after progressive Dollar declines posted during Reagan's final year and all of Bush I's four years).

Getting ahead of ourselves here a bit... but such a development would not surprise me a bit. (Especially with GOP election gains in the off-year 2010 elections, and possibly a few more seats in 2012.)

Remember: it has been the *combination* of a Democrat in the White House and a GOP-lead Congress (at least in one or the other Houses of Congress, if not in both) that historically produce the BEST rates of *both* growth in Gross National Product *and* reduction in federal deficits.

(As I and several other folks pointed out on these threads several years ago. :-)
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