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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 375.93-1.8%Nov 14 4:00 PM EST

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To: TobagoJack who wrote (59636)1/2/2010 7:56:33 PM
From: KyrosL1 Recommendation  Read Replies (3) of 217764
 
TJ, as an engineer you must know the power of compounding.

1.04^50 = 7.10

Amazing what a 4% dividend does over 5 decades: It multiplies the final stock index price by a factor of 7.

You, being a Hong Kong resident, don't have a dividend tax, so you don't need to worry about that. Even we in the US have a Roth IRA where everything from trading profits to dividends are tax free. The dividend tax here outside an IRA is 15%. That reduces the 4% to 3.4%. So over 5 decades you need to multiply the final index price by:

1.034^50 = 5.3

Conclusion: investing in an average US stock index beats the pants off investing in gold over the long term, regardless of when you start counting.
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