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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis

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To: ggersh who wrote (26086)1/6/2010 1:51:16 PM
From: benwood1 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) of 71454
 
"so it doesn't matter whether [gold's] worth
$500 or $10,000 as all those Dollars are worthless"

Gold can't be worth $500-10000 per ounce and infinity at the same time.

Gold tends to oscillate over time, but for the most part on a long term time scale, it maintains it's purchasing power.

The long term track record of the dollar is that it lost about 96-97% of it's purchasing power over the past 97 years. The typical decline was therefore just under 4% per year.

If I was a betting man, I'd say that in the next 20 years, we'll see a decline the $US of 50% or more, but less than 100%. So in twenty years, you can use some number of dollars to buy an ounce of gold, showing that the dollar is still a store of value, but one in which the purchasing power decays fairly rapidly. One had better get a really good yield, e.g. about 10% per year before tax, to have any hope of keeping up dollar-based purchasing power.

Even as gold keeps up, however, one's purchasing power will be nicked by the tax octopi the moment one converts that gold back into the local currency.
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