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Strategies & Market Trends : Dividend investing for retirement

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To: chowder who wrote (3280)	1/7/2010 11:26:49 AM
From: Triffin	Read Replies (3) of 34328

Great Thread !! I've been following the discussion between yourself, Grommit and E_K_S concerning 'timing' issues for acquiring initial positions in the various candidate companies .. One counter-intuitive approach that maybe worth further study would be to consider acquiring positions in the Dividend Aristocrats "Drop" list on the assumption that the reason for the dividend reduction was a "one off" event and that dividend growth and potential capital gains would resume from the new lower base .. You can't have infinite growth ( of dividends ) in a finite world, so it would be logical to assume that eventually the longer running Dividend Aristocrats will experience that "one off" event and have to ( temporarily ) reduce their payout .. I found some info on the dynamism of the list at www.istockanalyst.com as follows .. ======== The changes in the Dividend Aristocrat index should be expected and they are a natural process that occurs even in normal years. In 1989, the number of companies in the index was only 26. Only 7 of the original companies still remain in the index. The companies are: DOV, EMR, JNJ, KO, LOW, MMM and PG. The percentage of companies that remain in the index after 10 years is about 35%. There have been about 116 companies that have gone through the index for the 15-year period form 1989 to 2004. The average company stayed 6.5 years in the S&P Dividend Aristocrats index from the time of its addition. So as a dividend investor, you should expect year over year changes in the index. ========= Looking at the 2009 Dividend Aristocrats "Drops" we see the following price ranges .. AVY 17 - 40 BBT 13 - 30 GCI 2 - 17 GE 6 - 17 JCI 8 - 30 LM 10 - 34 MTB 30 - 71 PFE 12 - 19 STT 15 - 56 USB 8 - 25 Just an idea .. Triff ..

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