You just know these guys will have it right: [giggle] gns.cri.nz <We are GNS Science, a New Zealand government-owned research organisation offering the best in independent scientific and technical advice.
Do we know what we're talking about?
With 130 years of excellence in understanding earth sciences, we are the leading supplier of earth and nuclear scientific research and consultancy services in New Zealand - a very active geological environment. We have an international reputation for delivering quality advice and innovative research.>
I wonder what they think of CO2 as a problem? We can predict it will be the left wing woes rather than "no worries mate".
Hey, I've got an idea. I'll have a look through their website to see the big red warnings about building houses in Taupo and the vicinity, especially downwind, or at sea level around the Pacific Ocean coast.
I have now had a look through their website and there's nothing much at all [or anything] I spotted warning about the biggie.
But they do write this: <any future eruptive activity has to be watched out for, so that the sizes and styles of any eruptions, and their consequent threats to lives and property, can be forecasted. > I wonder where they hide the warnings about the threat to lives and property and children not wearing crash helmets in Taupo.
They even know that crater lakes are a good place to look for warnings of imminent eruption, but they missed Lake Taupo as a Big Daddy of them all crater lake to be watched: geonet.org.nz
Aha, here is some information: geonet.org.nz
with detail on Taupo: geonet.org.nz
<The Taupo eruption was the most violent eruption in the world in the last 5,000 years; it was a complex series of events. The first phases of the eruption produced a series of five pumice and ash fall deposits over a wide area of the central North Island, especially east of Taupo and beyond Napier into Hawke Bay. The eruption culminated with a large and very energetic pyroclastic flow that devastated an area of about 20,000 km2 and filled all the major river valleys of the central North Island with pumice and ash. These pumice deposits can still be seen today and many of the major rivers in the North Island carry large amounts of this pumice when in flood. Rounded pumice found on the beaches of the North Island have come from this eruption. The Taupo eruption took place from a line of vents near the eastern side of the modern lake. >
But I can't find any probabilistic risk analysis, or information. No doubt it's all stashed away somewhere.
A bit more detail here, volcano.si.edu
But really, there's no recognition of the crazy idea of building a whole city down at water level in the crater lake of a caldera. It's reasonable that some economic activity would be worth doing there with significant risk, but to simply set up house there as a pleasant place to live seems absurd.
Given the intrusion into our lives by Helengrad and the army of kleptocrats, you'd think they'd be all over that, for our own good of course, instead of forcing us with reams of regulations and an army of inspectorate to build leaky houses with decomposing timber [by law - it was illegal to use good treated timber - Greenies like natural wood that decomposes]
Hmmm, more looking and it's getting better still - dates of the eruptions volcano.si.edu There's a cliff in Taupo with the dates of eruptions on signs on the strata [there was 30 years ago but maybe the signs have gone now].
Maybe they are doing a passable job after all.
A quick scan of those dates, [more intricate than my cliff information] suggests I should increase my probability of eruption calculation.
Mqurice |
