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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries
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To: Snowshoe who wrote (72823)3/15/2010 11:13:11 PM
From: TobagoJack2 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) of 74559
 
i am cowering as usual, behind gold, cash, hk real estate, and the usual odds and ends comprised of shorted puts, calls and whatnot, waiting for something or other

below from today's r russell

... My belief is that those who are holding stocks and buying here will lose money over the long-term (5 to 10 years).

The Leuthold Group published a most interesting study of returns during various ten-year periods. I'm showing the annualized total returns below, and I consider this steady significant.

1930 to 1939 ..... Annualized return for the S&P 500..... +0.0%
1940 to 1949 ..... +9.2%
1950 to 1959 .......+19.4%
1960 to 1969..... +7.8%
1970 to 1979 .....+ 5.9%
1980 to 1989.....+ 17.5%
1990 to 1999......+18.2%
2000 to 2009.... -0.9%

What's this, the decade of 2000 to 2009 was the worst in history including the decade that included the Great Depression? And it's the only decade that ended up on the minus side. Is the stock market, in its wisdom, trying to tell us something? I think it is. I think the stock market by its negative performance during 2000 to 2009 was preparing us for hard times, a period ahead where we will have to deal with the results of years of Fed-created inflation, towering debt, and phony fiat currency ...

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