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Strategies & Market Trends : Longer-Term Market Trends

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To: AllansAlias who wrote (2234)	3/23/2010 11:13:25 AM
From: Perspective	Read Replies (1) of 3209

Only takes two things to summarize my present thinking. The first is that every sentiment measure I know of is pegged at levels consistent with tops (of course, sentiment measures can remain pegged for months and huge moves; necessary, but not sufficient, for a turn.) VIX, put-call, mutual fund cash: Message 26374714 The other thing - please forgive me for being a bit of a "clown" here, but it explains my present thinking quite well - is a piece by Hussman a few weeks back. "Can we rely on investor myopia?" Provides ZERO trading insight, but captures my thinking perfectly. Investors are behaving quite irrationally right now - risk is quite high - but do you act like a trader and try to join them, letting your stops do the work? Or do you just step aside until both fundamentals and technicals line up in the same direction? Message 26400666 It will be good to hear your insights again. May you invest in interesting times. <G> `BC

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