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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: Snowshoe who wrote (73067)3/26/2010 12:37:28 AM
From: Maurice Winn1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) of 74559
 
I temporarily bought Wildan until I figured out what it does. I sold it soon after buying it. A broker phoned me one day to see if I'd buy it. I did [after a 5 minute chat]. After figuring out what it was, I bailed out because depending on California taxpayers to fund construction and other works seemed a very bad idea since they would be running out of money sooner rather than later. It was a small tranche, not even a Tonka Truckload.

finance.yahoo.com

I sold it before the first dip. You can see the little bump up which was my bump [in the early days of trading].

I bought it at IPO for $10 and sold it soon after for $10.50 [near enough] once I'd figured out that I was holding a disaster zone. As you can see, my forecast of disaster was right.

I am currently short JPM. Also did buy some PHR [Prudential preferred which are up 10% on my buy price = again, an ill-considered IPO buy but it seemed like a good idea at the time, though not so good when the big panic happened].

Once upon a time I owned Global Crossing after the huge crash [I think that was the senior notes as I recall]. Also some ESD [some weird currency thing]. But the only biggies [dirty great Tonka Truckloads] have been QCOM and GSTRF in the last decade or so. And Techniclone for a while. And Leap Wireless spun off from QCOM, sold at the peak of about $93. Maybe something else too which I forget at the moment.

I almost shorted HOV and one of the other housing stocks before the crash too. That was very tempting but for tax reasons, I didn't. NZ has odd capital gains tax rules.

My plan in the early 1990s was to invest in telecomms stocks until Y2K, then switch to biotechnology. But another decade slipped into the system somehow, mostly because things seem to take a lot longer to happen than I think they will.

I did wonder whether the QCOM share price went down because of some "dire" prediction by QCOM management, then, after they bought a few $billion in stock back, they realized things are not actually so bad after all and now the price is back up.

Mqurice
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