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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 386.47-0.2%Dec 5 4:00 PM EST

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To: pezz who wrote (62445)4/8/2010 5:58:43 AM
From: TobagoJack   of 218194
 
hello pezz, today's report:
(i) sent in my co-investment commitment letter to existing real estate club effort to engage with project on hk commercial / waterfront buildings by securing 90% of property and closeout the remaining 10% owners, demolish the buildings per officialdom policy for win-win-win (sellers, investor/developer, neighborhood)

- purchase price at 30-40% below current mkt, imputed current cap rate is 6.3% on cost
- equiv. land cost comes to hkd 11k/sft
- target equity multiple is 2.8 over 6 years elapsed time
- will find out actual allocation determination, drawndown, etc etc april 12
- will find out if club is successful in securing 90% at end of april
- lease term on land is up to up to 24 June 2842, some what beyond my time horizon ;0)

(ii) read, appreciated and laughed at chanos re bloomberg.com "China on ‘Treadmill to Hell’ Amid Bubble, Chanos Says"

(iii) at leverage of 60%, and borrowing cost at usa 3-mth t-bill + 2%, the upside is good enough

(iv) must play more with gdx and all its derivatives to help fund effort

(v) do not see any hkg real estate bubble

cheers, tj
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