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Non-Tech : Alternative energy

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To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (7977)4/28/2010 6:07:12 PM
From: Jacob Snyder   of 16955
 
FSLR 1Q10:

sales $568.0 million; 539M expected
EPS $2.00; $1.65 expected
production cost/watt $0.81, down from $0.84 4Q09, and $0.93 1Q09
11.1% conversion efficiency, up from 10.9% 1Q09
gross margin: 50% (much higher than expected)

Guidance:
2010 EPS $6.80-7.30; $6.13 expected
2010 sales $2.6-2.7B; $2.8B previous guidance
2010 capex $625 to $650 million; 525M previos guidance
2010 gross margin 41-43%; previous was 38%; this is consolidated, not just modules
Will buy Nextlight (project/systems developer) for 285M$ cash.

...additional four line manufacturing plant with an annual capacity of over 220 MW at the first quarter 2010 line run-rate. The plant is expected to begin production in the fourth quarter of 2011...
manufacturing capacity estimates:
end-2010 1337MW (previous 1282MW)
end-2011 2005MW (previous 1700MW)
end-2012 2117MW

global solar demand:
2009 7GW actual
2010 9.9GW (previous consensus about 9.0GW)
2011 12.1GW
2012 15.3GW

my comment: Exceeded expectations, raised guidance on all parameters. Particularly impressive was the increased EPS and gross margin guidance for 2010. Clearly, a mistake to short FSLR through this earnings report.
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