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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 375.96-1.8%Nov 14 4:00 PM EST
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To: TobagoJack who wrote (63519)5/10/2010 12:51:37 PM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (3) of 217825
 
Will China Implode and Bring the U.S. Down With It?

"If China implodes, what will happen to the U.S. economy?" There are a couple of cyclical considerations that can be addressed in this regard. The first is that while the famous 4-year "business cycle" is scheduled to bottom later this year, around late September/early October, once the cyclical pressure from this lifts, the U.S. financial market should be in a position to resume its leadership position among the major countries, including China.

If we assume China is well into a decline by that time, we can project a scenario in which the U.S. shrugs off this external divergence, much as it did when Japan's stock market and economy collapsed in 1990.

That leaves the last of the long-term yearly cycles, the 6-year cycle, to push the U.S. stock market into one final growth spurt into 2011 before it peaks next year.

seekingalpha.com
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