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Politics : Liberalism: Do You Agree We've Had Enough of It?

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To: TideGlider who wrote (85863)6/14/2010 11:58:33 AM
From: Kenneth E. Phillipps  Read Replies (3) of 224749
 
First tropical depression of 2010 forming
Posted: Jun 14, 2010 6:18 AM PDT
Updated: Jun 14, 2010 6:34 AM PDT

As an early sign that the 2010 Hurricane Season could live up to the outlooks for a very active season, a tropical wave that emerged off Africa several days ago is expected to become the season's first tropical depression -- and possibly Tropical Storm Alex -- sometime today or tonight.

It is extremely unusual for tropical waves emerging off of Africa to develop in mid-June. This is a sign that the unusually warm waters in the Atlantic are negating climatology.

Nonetheless, most of the forecast models have this system gaining latitude north through the next few days, missing the northern coast of South America, and approaching the Leeward Islands by the end of the week.

While intensification to tropical depression or tropical storm strength is likely over the next two days, the feature will undergo stronger wind shear aloft as it moves into the western Atlantic. This should serve to weaken the feature and keep it from being a hurricane as it approaches the Caribbean.

The long-range implications for the Caribbean and the United States coastline are unclear at this time, but any possible effects to our part of the world are more than a week away, if at all.

There is plenty of time to watch this feature and ANOTHER wave that has just come off the African coast. This second system also has the potential for development.

This early activity of the African "wave train," again, is extraordinary and is an ominous sign of a very busy hurricane season, with the possibility of an extreme level of activity (both in intensity and/or frequency of systems) as we get beyond early July.

An update will be issued as conditions warrant. Make sure and watch NBC2 News at 11 a.m. and Noon for the very latest with meteorologist John Patrick.

Hurricane Expert Jim Reif joins you with the latest afternoon update at 4 p.m. and I'll see you on NBC2 News at 5, 6, and 11 p.m. tonight.

nbc-2.com
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