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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Paul Senior who wrote (38313)6/17/2010 1:48:45 AM
From: Spekulatius  Read Replies (3) of 78705
 
re HFCB - this stock screams inefficient market. Secondary at steep discount, Bank from a dinky town that nobody knows about, probably half the shareholders comatose. All the good stuff <g>

I had this stock on my watchlist because it screened well in terms of value and asset quality metrics (per FDIC website). The secondary brought the stock down from 12$ to 9$ and will leave a well capitalized bank, imo. So it's now or never to get in.

Tangible Book after secondary should be around 12.5-13$/share. I don't know if they can keep the dividend - they will probably pay back the 18.4M$ in TARP money, so that will save some preferred dividend payment, so it could well work out. Either way it's cheap enough for me to make a bet. Target would be 12$/share in a year or so but maybe I take 10$ in a few days if it comes to that.
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